John Kenneth Galbraith, famous Harvard Economist and the US Ambassador to India during J.F. Kennedy's Administration wrote. 'All Financial Crises are the result of Debt that, in one fashion or another, has become Dangero
CS Professional · Banking - Law and Practice · PYQS · June 2021
John Kenneth Galbraith, famous Harvard Economist and the US Ambassador to India during J.F. Kennedy's Administration wrote. 'All Financial Crises are the result of Debt that, in one fashion or another, has become Dangerously out of Scale'. This was clearly demonstrated in the Financial Crisis which took place in the US in 2008. Aggressive lending characterized by Sub-prime Housing Loans and excessive leverage in major Banks and Financial Institutions led to the most serious financial challenge since the Great Depression of 1930s. The Sub Prime Crisis had reportedly led to a total write off of 1.18 trillion Dollars. One has to understand the causes of the Financial Crisis and take appropriate measures to avoid its recurrence. In order to withstand such a shock in future, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) has announced on 13th September, 2010, New Capital Rules as agreed by the global regulators. The new requirement, known as Basel-III, demands a substantial strengthening of existing capital requirements. This involves higher global Minimum Capital Standards for Banks. As cited above, Basel-III reforms are the response of BCBS to improve the Banking Sector's ability to absorb shocks arising from financial and economic stress, whatever the source, thus reducing the Risk of Spill over from the financial sector to the real economy. During the Pittsburgh Summit in September 2009, the G-20 leaders committed to strengthen the regulatory system for Banks and other Financial Firms and also act together to raise Capital Standards, to implement strong International Compensation Standards aimed at ending practices that lead to excessive risk-taking, to improve the Over-The-Counter Derivatives Market and to create more powerful tools to hold large global firms to account for the risks they take. For all these reforms, the leaders set for themselves strict and precise timetables. Consequently, the BCBS released comprehensive reform package entitled "Basel-III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient Banks and Banking Systems" (known as Basel III capital regulations) in December 2010. Basel-III reforms strengthen the Bank-level i.e. Micro prudential regulation, with the intention to raise the resilience of individual Banking Institutions in periods of stress. Besides, the reforms have a Macro prudential focus also, addressing system wide risks, which can build up across, the Banking Sector, as well as the pro-cyclical amplification of these risks over time. These new Global Regulatory and Supervisory Standards mainly seek to raise the Quality and level of Capital to ensure Banks are better able to absorb losses on both a going concern and a gone concern basis, increase the Risk coverage of the Capital framework, introduce Leverage Ratio to serve as a backdrop to the Risk-based Capital measure, raise the Standards for the Supervisory Review Process (Pillar-2) and Public Disclosures (Pillar-3) etc. The Macro prudential aspects of Basel-III are largely enshrined in the Capital Buffers. Both the Buffers i.e. the Capital Conservation Buffer and the Countercyclical Buffer are intended to protect the Banking Sector from periods of excess Credit Growth. Reserve Bank of India (RBI) issued Guidelines based on the Basel-III reforms on Capital Regulation on 2nd May, 2012, to the extent applicable to Banks Operating in India. Banks have started implementing the Guidelines from 1st April, 2013 in India in a phased manner. Banks are advised by RBI to report the CRAR as per Basel-II and Basel-III simultaneously in all their disclosures to the stakeholders. In this backdrop, you are required to give answers in the context of prevailing Banking Practices and various RBI Compliances to the following: How will Basel-III affect the Profitability of Banks?
Answer & Explanation:
Basel-III requires higher and better-quality capital. Admittedly, the cost of equity capital is high. It is also likely that the loss absorbency requirements on the non-equity regulatory capital will increase its Cost. The Average Return on Equity (RoE) of the Indian banking system for the last three years has been approximately 15 per cent. Implementation of Basel-III is expected to result in a decline in Indian banks' RoE in the short-term. However, the expected benefits arising out of a more stable and stronger banking system will largely offset the negative impact of a lower RoE in the medium to long term. It is also fair to assume that investors will perceive the benefits of having less risky and more stable banks, and will therefore be willing to trade in higher returns for lower risks. Whether Banks will bear the increased cost of capital themselves or pass it to their Depositors and Borrowers. This tradeoff has to be assessed in the context of the relatively higher level of Net Interest Margins (NIMs) of Indian banks, of approximately 3 per cent. This higher NIM suggests that there is scope for banks to improve their efficiency, bring down the cost of intermediation and ensure that returns are not overly compromised even as the cost of capital may increase. The Liquidity Standards under Basel-III, will mandate to maintain a higher quantum of liquid assets encourage banks to resort to the passive option of lending to the Government, thereby crowding out credit to the private sector. Banks' holding of Government securities that should be taken into account for assessing compliance with liquidity standards. One view is that since the Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) securities are required to be held on an ongoing basis, they should not be reckoned for calculating liquidity requirements under Basel-III. An alternate view is that since the Reserve Bank is expected to provide liquidity against these securities under stressed conditions as part of its Lender of Last Resort (LoLR) obligation, at least a pre-specified portion of these securities should be taken into account for assessing compliance with Basel-III's Liquidity Standards. Basel-III will affect the profitability of banks and alter their incentive structure is that the competitive dimension of banking sector should ensure that banks are able to deliver efficient financial intermediation without compromising the interests of depositors and borrowers.
Topics: Risk Management in Banks
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